In Week 7, we went 8-5 on both point spreads and moneylines. Here’s an early look at our NFL Week 8 predictions and picks for all 15 games between the Chiefs and Chargers. Next odds ratios designed for picks against the spread as well as based on money lines DraftKings Sportsbook.
NFL Week 8 picks and predictions
Every week NFL the season has the expected, the mildly unexpected, and the totally unexpected. When betting on spot spreads and money lines, we should focus on the first two outcomes.
What are the most likely game scripts? What interesting subplots might arise? For example, we can’t predict when a lightly used quarterback will fall into the end zone twice in one half. But we can estimate the likelihood that one team’s backfield will have more scoring chances.
With that in mind, here are our preliminary assessments of how each game could go, including the two main questions surrounding each team’s execution of its offense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1) vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Thursday, October 27
- Start time: 8:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay’s losses to Kansas City and even Green Bay were understandable, although back-to-back home losses seemed a bit strange. After almost increasing the lead in the match against “Atlanta”, it was a surprise. It seemed that Carolina on Sunday confused us, as if we entered a new stage.
MORE: The Buccaneers proved they refuse to grow up in the loss to the Panthers
Buccaneers don’t look scary anymore. Whether it’s Tom Brady or his receivers or running backs or his offensive line, there are plenty of people to blame. The Ravens are not the team to face when you’re trying to right the ship. But with the Bucs’ 3-4 season so far, I’m willing to bet on a rebound.
Prediction vs. the spread: Buccaneers
Moneyline Winner: Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5) vs. Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 9:30 a.m. ET
London fans will enjoy watching this one. Or maybe they won’t. There is nothing we can do about it.
But at this point, we know that Denver’s defense can win games and their offense just can’t. Like the Broncos, the Jaguars are on the brink of the playoffs after a tough loss to the Giants. But Jacksonville has a much better offense, despite the fact that it sometimes stops at the wrong time. Jags should prevail by more than 5 points.
Prediction vs. the spread: Jaguars
Moneyline Winner: Jaguars
Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) vs. Carolina Panthers
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Can the Panthers win again? Undoubtedly. This week? Probably not. I like the way Atlanta stands up to them. Marcus Mariota was much better than I expected back in August, and Drake London and Kyle Pitts should step up against a defense that, ironically, wasn’t fully tested against Tampa Bay.
Prediction vs. the spread: Falcons
Moneyline Winner: Falcons
Dallas Cowboys (-10) vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Dak Prescott shook off the rust in Week 7 as his defense pressured the beleaguered Lions. It could be more of the same next week as Chicago doesn’t pose much of a threat to Dallas. The bigger question is whether the Cowboys will score 20+ or 30+. (And yes, if they score 30+, that means they scored 20+. I’m making sure you know that I know that you know.)
Prediction vs. the spread: Cowboys
Moneyline Winner: Cowboys
Detroit Lions (+3.5) vs. Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Can Detroit get its offense back on track against a run-down Miami defense? It depends a lot on which of their playmakers is healthy. Of course, the betting line could move significantly in the coming days based on the projected active/inactive list on Sunday. At this point, I’m comfortably leaning toward Miami. But only “leaning in”.
Prediction vs. the spread: Lions
Moneyline Winner: Dolphins
Minnesota Vikings (-4) vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Are the Vikings as good as their record? In years past, this could have been a trap game. But Minnesota seems primed for another W against a franchise whose offense is out of sync and whose defense is struggling to contain opponents. Expect another big day from Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook or both.
Anti-Spread Prediction: Vikings
Moneyline Winner: Vikings
New Orleans Saints (+2) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Which wounded Saints will come back for it? And will Andy Dalton continue to lead the passing attack? Obviously, it’s too early to make a firm judgment about how this contest will play out. But the squad has big holes on both sides of the ball, though Josh Jacobs looks set to carry Vegas on his back in a contract year. If New Orleans can’t slow him down, this could be a battle for the final possession.
Contrary to popular belief: St
Moneyline Winner: Saints
New York Jets (+1.5) vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Jet planes fly high and in confusion at the same time. As of Monday morning, Brice Hall’s injury could be the end of the season. Corey Davis is also out on Sunday and Elijah Moore wants to be out.
The timing couldn’t be worse. It’s rare that there are gimmicks against New England. New York can struggle to move the ball without its main offensive weapon. Surprisingly (given the recent history of these teams), the Jets’ defense will likely be the difference — either because they continue to rise, or because the Patriots are able to expose their weaknesses.
Prediction vs. the spread: Patriots
Moneyline Winner: Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 1 p.m. ET
Unbeaten teams at this depth of the season often look unstoppable. Philly definitely looks somewhere between “tough” and unbridled. Both the Eagles and Steelers have young offensive cores. This creates unpredictability. Philadelphia should take this one, but the question is whether Pittsburgh can match their poise and stay close.
Prediction vs. the spread: Steelers
Moneyline Winner: Eagles
Houston Texans (+3.5) vs. Tennessee Titans
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 4:05 PM ET
Will Ryan Tannehill start this one or will his injury hold him back? If the latter, maybe it’s time for Malik Willis to show what he can do.
Against Houston, he could muster just enough offense to stay competitive. But let’s be honest, until we know who will start at QB, all we can say is that it will be Derrick Henry vs. Damon Pierce. Great battle and also a toss up until we find out who the Titans quarterback is.
Prediction vs. the spread: Texans
Moneyline Winner: Titans
Indianapolis Colts (-4) vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 4:25 PM ET
Does Indianapolis have a new #1 WR? We waited several years Paris Campbell be healthy enough to contribute. Over the past two weeks, he’s reminded everyone why the Colts were happy to draft him and why they’re sticking with him. Don’t be surprised if it’s effective again, and against commanders that don’t fit, it can be enough.
Prediction vs. the spread: Colts
Moneyline Winner: Colts
Los Angeles Rams (+2) vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 4:25 PM ET
If the Niners win this game, the Rams will fall to 3-4 in their next game on the road against the Bucks. If the Niners lose, they will fall to 3-5, and some may question that paid too much for Christian McCaffrey.
I know. It is too early to judge. But these are bets for two teams that are essentially going all-in for another Super Bowl. I expect LA to play better than when these teams met in Week 4. But I expect the same from the improved 49ers.
Prediction vs. the spread: 49ers
Moneyline Winner: 49ers
Seattle Seahawks (-3) vs New York Giants
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 4:25 PM ET
The Seahawks and Giants are real. Few would argue with that. They also play a little above their weight class, and that means no disrespect.
MORE: Week 8 NFL Power Rankings
Seattle has been defeated by several injury-plagued teams, while the Giants are losing fourth-quarter wins, stuck in the middle of regulation and a poor passing attack. Of course, Daniel Jones and Geena Smith are phenomenal. Both teams perform quite evenly. This week, I think New York’s heroics took a backseat to Seattle’s heroics.
Prediction vs. the spread: Seahawks
Moneyline Winner: Seahawks
Buffalo Bills (-10.5) vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday, October 30
- Start time: 8:20 PM ET
Buffalo should win this match easily. I wouldn’t have thought that three weeks ago. It seems clear now, even if we can never count out a veteran squad like the Packers. However, the Bills have too much firepower, while Green Bay’s fate rests largely on Aaron Jones and a situationally savvy defense. This will not be enough.
Prediction vs. Spread: Bills
Cashline Winner: Bills
Cleveland Browns (+3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Monday, October 31
- Start time: 8:15 PM ET
Can the Bengals be stopped? Like a wind up toy, once Cincinnati has figured out its offense, another run to the playoffs seems inevitable. I don’t think Nick Chubb can help Cleveland keep up, and Jacoby Brissett remains a better game manager than the wizard who came from behind.
Prediction vs. the spread: Bengals
Moneyline Winner: Bengals
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