The Dallas Cowboys had a disappointing 2021 season despite a 12-5 record. Expectations have changed after seeing several key starters leave in free agency. The Cowboys have 10 wins in 2022, despite being considered a legitimate Super Bowl contender last year.
Let’s take a look at the Cowboys current record, projected total winningsIntriguing prop bets involving franchises and odds to win the division, conference and Super Bowl in 2023.
All odds are from the Caesers sportsbook unless otherwise noted and are correct as of July 10th at 11:00 AM ET.
Dallas Cowboys record prediction for 2022
After the release of Art NFL Schedule, the Caesers have provided odds and spreads for all of the Cowboys’ 2022 regular season games. Based on those numbers, the Cowboys are projected as favorites in 11 games and underdogs in six. If the season meets these predictions, then The Cowboys would finish 11-6 record after Week 18 of the 2022 season.
However, the 2021 Cowboys have proven that it’s never as simple as simply calculating who the favorite is each week. Oddsmakers had Dallas’ win total last year at 9.5 games. They easily covered the score with upset wins over the Los Angeles Chargers in week two and the New England Patriots in week six.
Currently projected to win the NFC East, the Cowboys are a playoff favorite that should fend off the competition. Even if the Cowboys are projected to surpass the 10-win mark, the margin of error is small when we consider the game-by-game odds. Seven of the Cowboys’ 17 games are now spread by 3 points or less by both sides.
The Cowboys’ 2022 schedule is tough, thanks to matchups against Super Bowl contenders. Loading schedule packed with Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, Los Angeles Rams, Green Bay, Indianapolis and Tennessee. A potential saving grace for Dallas is that they host three of their first four games, including against Tampa Bay and Cincinnati.
Cowboys odds, picks and props
We now know the weekly bookmakers predictions for the Cowboys. Let’s take a look at their season, division, conference and Super Bowl winning ratios.
- Cowboys win total: 10 (Over -110, Under -110)
- Highest Scoring Cowboys Team: +1200
- NFC East Winner: +135
- NFC Winner: +850
- Super Bowl Winner: +1800
It’s much more fun to bet on quality teams. The Cowboys prop bets include whether they can repeat their crown as the NFL’s leading scoring team. Also, the Cowboys are considered the top seed in the NFC East, but an outside threat to win the NFC and the Super Bowl.
This is a critical season for Dallas. Head coach Mike McCarthy nearly lost offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to other head coaching positions. The idea that Dallas could cut ties with McCarthy and promote one of their prized coordinators in 2023 isn’t far-fetched if Jerry and Stephen Jones believe McCarthy is holding the team back from its potential.
How Dallas handles that pressure could make or break the future of this regime. Dallas has a veteran roster that will have some tough decisions to make in the near future. Breaking through their glass ceiling could completely change the franchise’s next steps.
The power of the NFC East is another big factor in whether the Cowboys can achieve a bigger win total and make the playoffs. Philadelphia and Washington were able to improve this offseason by adding more offense. It doesn’t have to be predetermined. Dallas is even the best team in the East.
Cowboys MVP odds and player props
Along with Super Bowl aspirations is the possibility of individual awards. The Cowboys have an obvious MVP candidate in quarterback Dak Prescott. Last season, Prescott finished second in the 2021 NFL Comeback Player of the Year race to Joe Burrow.
The rest of the Cowboys roster offers great opportunities for individual bets and rewards. With Moore entering his third season as offensive coordinator and Prescott having a full year under his belt after returning from ankle surgery, we should expect Dallas’ offense to continue to produce a productive unit. It’s not surprising to see both tight end Dalton Schultz and running back Ezekiel Elliott see lower total snap rates than each of them last season.
- MVP
Dak Prescott +1600 - Dak Prescott passes for regular season TD
Over/Under 31.5: Under (-115) Over (-110) - Dalton Schultz gets a TD in the regular season
Over/Under 5.5: Under (-105) Over (-125) - Ezekiel Elliott in a regular season rush
Over/Under 875.5: -115 - Defensive Player of the Year
Micah Parsons +1000 - Coach of the year
Mike McCarthy +3000
Prescott’s MVP chances are solid if you believe in the Cowboys’ ability to surpass their 10-win season. It takes the right combination of production, storytelling and team effectiveness to win the MVP. He certainly ticked the box in the first down after completing just under 69% of his passes for 4,449 yards, 37 touchdowns and just 10 interceptions in 2021. However, the overall success of the Cowboys will determine his candidacy.
The same goes for midfielder Mickey Parsons’ ability to win Defensive Player of the Year. The numbers were there for Parsons as a rookie. A polished role from day one could help him surpass his impressive marks of 84 tackles and 13 sacks last season, and he’ll need that to overcome stiff competition.
Cowboys 2022 pick
- Cowboys to win NFC East: +135
- Prescott over 31.5 passing TDs: -110
- Schultz over 5.5 receiving TDs: -125
- Elliott over 875.5 yards: -115
- Parsons wins Defensive Player of the Year: +1000
It’s undeniable that Dallas has a strong team overall. Their offensive potential, even without Amari Cooper and Cedric Wilson, is huge. They still have one of the best offensive lines in the league and a quality receiving corps with C.D. Lamb, Michael Gallup, Schultz and rookie Jalen Tolbert.
Also factoring in the loss of Randy Gregory, the Cowboys have gotten worse this offseason from a ceiling perspective. Still, if you believe in this team’s ability to get to 12 or more wins again, you should believe in Prescott’s MVP chances and Parsons’ case for DPOY. Both have great star power and statistical upside, so if Dallas wins, these two will be at the forefront of the discussion.
I’m only willing to partially sprinkle the unit on Parsons winning DPOY. He is one of the most electric talents in the NFL because of his versatility. Only a slight increase in interceptions and sacks could put his DPOY chances on par with Aaron Donald, Myles Garrett and TJ Watt.
The Cowboys win total is 10. We could buy it at 9.5 to win or 10.5 to win because I think 10 is the magic number for them. The value of Dallas winning the NFC East is great, even though I like the Eagles just as much as we get a +135 return.
I’m fully invested in Dallas’ playmakers becoming star producers again. Elliott may be viewed as the plague by some pundits due to his 4.2 yards per carry average and significant salary cap, but he’s a reliable workhorse who will get the bulk of the carries in 2022. This could be his last year in Dallas since his postseason contract. So the Cowboys have more incentive to squeeze as much as they can out of Elliott.
I also like that Prescott and Schultz continue to connect on touchdown passes. Losing Cooper and Wilson will be a big blow, even if Dallas reloads with Tolbert and possibly a full slate of games from Gallup. Prescott easily eclipsed the 31.5 touchdown mark despite missing one game, while Schultz caught eight scores.
The bar is not very high to clear any of these props. Cooper and Wilson combined for 14 touchdowns last year, opening the door for one or two to go to Schultz, even if Lamb and Gallup eat up the rest.
Dallas Cowboys record prediction 2022: Odds, props, and picks
